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Upcoming By-Elections – 29/09/2016

Graven Valley (North Norfolk DC)

LD seat. Cause: Resignation.
LD candidate – Karen Ward.

Tyldesley (Blackpool UA)

Conservative seat. Cause: death.
LD candidate – Paul Richard Hindley.

Adeyfield West (Dacorum BC)

Conservative seat. Cause: death.
LD candidate: Adrian England.
To help, please contact Lloyd Harris on 07932 251 945 or email agent@hhlibdems.org.uk.

Allestree (Derby UA)

Conservative seat. Cause: resignation.
LD candidate: Deena Smith.

Finedon (Wellingborough BC)

Conservative seat. Cause: death.
LD candidate: John Barnes Wheaver.

Stow (Cotswold DC)

Conservative seat. Cause: Death.
LD candidate – Dilys Neill.
To help, please contact Chris Twells on 07952 450943 or email chris@cotswoldlibdems.co.uk.

Hythe & Dibden Parish Council, New Forest, Hampshire

Lib Dem seat. Cause: Resignation
LD candidate: Mark Clark

To keep up to date on all upcoming elections visit the ALDC By-Election pages.

Liberal Democrats Winning Here Sign

By-Election Report – 22/09/2016

I’ve not been writing these weekly updates long, however each week I’ve been able to use the “Winning Here!” Sign and started with “Congratulations to…” As we have gained. This week we we don’t have 1 gain… We have 3!

Congratulations to the Plasnewydd team in Cardiff who closed our conference in style by winning their by election on Tuesday – obviously timed to catch us off guard. Taking yet another Labour seat the team increased their vote share by 15 points to almost take half the votes and took our net gains to 15.
Plasnewydd (Cardiff) result:
LDEM: 48.1% (+15.4)
LAB: 34.8% (-2.0)
PC: 6.8% (-5.3)
CON: 4.4% (-1.2)
GRN: 3.6% (-9.3)
UKIP: 2.4% (+2.4)

By-election net changes graph - 20/09/2016 - The Liberal Democrats Number 1 in local council by-elections since 5th May 2016. Net Up 15, Gained 15, lost 0.
Now those that follow these wonderful Gain charts regularly may be thinking “15? Weren’t we on 13 on Thursday?” And you would be right, sort of.

As we all gathered on Saturday in Brighton (or Friday for those who attended the excellent Lib Dem Pint) still basking in the glorious 13th gain from Tupton, we eagerly listened to Sal Brinton’s speech to open the Rally. In this she proudly proclaimed our 15 gains, then proceeded to read out 17 names as the crowd proudly shouted “GAIN!”. Immediately my eye brows were raised. 15? Surely Sal and here team couldn’t have made a mistake, but where was our mistake? It turns out both of us were wrong. As I went through the list along with John, Brian and Glynn it became clear that 3 of the names Sal read out were actually Town Council wins and whilst great we were counting those (dif we did the gains would be much higher!). That left just one, Amesbury East in Wiltshire UA, this was indeed a gain! This actually dates back to the 5th of May, the day of the 2016 local elections, however this wasn’t one of those this was actually a by-election and so we decided it should be in our list of gains. There is still debate going on as to whether this is a sound methodology though, plus hints that there are 2 others we are missing so this could change again before Next Thursday!

So having got that sorted and agreeing that with the Cardiff win we were on 15 gains, the chart now needs updating again as last night we gained again!

Congratulations to the team in Teignmouth Central who took the seat from the Conservatives showing we are taking from Red, Blue, and Purple! Increasing vote share by nearly 30 points to take over half the votes is a brilliant example of what can be achieved.
Teignmouth Central (Teignbridge) result:
LDEM: 51.1% (+28.3)
CON: 29.8% (-12.6)
UKIP: 11.6% (+11.6)
LAB: 7.5% (-8.7)

Congratulations also to the team in Hadleigh who had to wait till almost lunchtime to find out that they had also won, defeating the Conservatives with a healthy 12 point increase to take 36% of the vote.
Hadleigh (Suffolk) result:
LDEM: 36.2% (+12.0)
CON: 25.9% (-5.6)
LAB: 22.4% (+5.8)
UKIP: 11.5% (-11.3)
GRN: 3.9% (-0.9)
There were also other positives from the night with vote share increases in Carmarthenshire, Gateshead and Allerdale.
Cilycwm (Carmarthenshire) result:
PC: 27.8% (+27.8)
IND: 20.9% (+20.9)
LAB: 17.0% (+17.0)
IND: 14.7% (+14.7)
PF: 8.9% (+8.9)
LD: 8.6% (+8.6)
CON: 2.1% (-17.2)

Chopwell & Rowlands Gill (Gateshead) result:
LAB: 59.1% (-3.7)
UKIP: 15.6% (+1.3)
LDEM: 12.3% (+7.9)
CON: 8.6% (-2.3)
GRN: 4.4% (-3.2)

Christchurch (Allerdale) result:
LAB: 40.7% (+5.8)
LDEM: 29.4% (+20.0)
CON: 25.9% (-19.3)
UKIP: 4.0% (+4.0)

Although in Cherwell the Conservatives took votes from everyone meaning we stayed in last place with a slight loss in vote share.
Adderbury, Bloxham & Bodicote (Cherwell) result:
CON: 57.4% (+8.5)
LAB: 16.2% (-0.3)
GRN: 15.7% (-5.5)
LDEM: 10.7% (-2.8)

Disappointingly the final 3 results of the night failed to have a Lib Dem candidate standing.
Coatbridge North & Glenboig first prefs:
LAB: 41.7% (-11.3)
SNP: 39.0% (+8.2)
CON: 11.3% (+5.3)
GRN: 6.0% (+6.0)
UKIP: 1.9% (+1.9)
Old Stratford (South Northamptonshire) result:
CON: 77.2% (+77.2)
UKIP: 22.8% (+22.8)
Conservative HOLD.
Con previously elected unopposed.

Arley & Whitacre (North Warwickshire) result:
LAB: 59.7% (+33.7)
CON: 40.3% (+1.7)
Greens and UKIP didn’t stand this time round.

This also doesn’t include our Town Council results where we gained 4 seats in total. 1 from Labour in Hailsham, 1 in Cockermouth and 2 in Teignmouth all from the Conservatives.

East (Hailsham TC)
LD Graham Moore 161 [59.6%]
Independent 109 [40.4%]
Majority 52 Turnout 13.3%
LD gain from Labour (last election 2015 uncontested)

Christchurch (Cockermouth TC)
LD Rebecca Hanson 228 [41.1%]
Labour 189 [34.1%]
No Description 138 [24.8%]
Majority 39
Turnout 36%
LD gain from Conservatives
Last contested 2015

Central (Teignmouth TC)
LD Julie Philips 451 [48.3%]
LD Roy Gordon Philips 399
Conservative 355 [38.0%]
Conservative 326
Labour 128 [13.7%]
Labour 119
Majority 96
Turnout 24.9%
LD gains (x2) from Conservatives

Full details of last nights By-Election results can be found on the ALDC website’s By-Election Results page and details of that is coming next on my preview page.

Well done to all who stood last night regardless of the result. It is really important that we stand candidates in all by-elections in order to build the habit of voting Liberal Democrat. If there is no candidate of ours on the ballot paper we are depriving someone of their ability to vote for us. If you are interested in standing as a candidate please get in touch with your Local Party or ALDC.

Update – 23/08/2016 16:55 : added Teignmouth Town Council gains missed earlier.

Update – 30/09/2016 14:30 : after much debate we decided to drop Amesbury East and all 5th May by-elections as if we included this we would need to include all the other elections on that day which would then massively skew the graph. All future charts for this period will now have a start date of 6th May 2016

Liberal Democrats Winning Here Sign

By-Election Report – 15/09/2016

Apologies as this is a little brief but I’m on my way to conference.

Congratulations are in order in a number of places tonight as it was another great night for Liberal Democrats last night.

In Tupton, North East Derbyshire David Hancock shocked Labour by going from the seat not being contested to winning with 38% of the votes while Labour dropped 30% of their vote share. This is even more surprising considering the local party had completely collapsed and was only reborn in January joining with Bolsover. Ross Shipman has done a great job to lead the local party back from the brink and help David win this stunning victory. Hopefully David and Ross will be writing us a blog post shortly about their journey.

Tupton (North East Derbyshire) result:
LDEM: 38.3% (+38.3)
LAB: 34.7% (-32.4)
CON: 17.5% (-15.4)
UKIP: 8.9% (+8.9)
BPP: 0.7% (+0.7)

There was also a gain at Town Council level where Jenny Davies topped the polls to win 1 of 2 seats on offer on Burton Latimer Town Council. According to Chris Nelson this is the 1st Council by-election win for the Lib Dems in the Kettering constituency since 1999 – great work. As a side note, the beaten Labour candidate was also Jenny’s Grandson!

Lib Dem Jenny Davies 597 E
Ind 564 E
Ind 328
Lab 289

Gains don’t mean anything though if you can’t hold your own seats (no matter what Labour say!) so it’s also very good news that Jonny Keeley successfully defended our seat Bishop’s Castle with a very healthy 61% vote share.

Bishop’s Castle (Shropshire) result:
LDEM: 60.5% (-1.5)
CON: 30.2% (-0.5)
LAB: 6.7% (+6.7)
GRN: 2.6% (-4.7)

Elsewhere while we didn’t win in Puckeridge Sara Mihajlovic made a good impression with very little time to campaign taking 3rd place with 18% of the vote from a standing start.

Puckeridge (East Hertfordshire) result:
CON: 42.9% (-24.6)
UKIP: 18.9% (+18.9)
LDEM: 18.0% (+18.0)
LAB: 11.0% (-8.9)
GRN: 9.1% (-3.5)

The other results from the night are also below with a good increase in vote share in Blakelaw taken no doubt from Labour, but not so good in Castle (Carlisle) where we only held ground (Are our expectations now where we expect to always make up ground?).

Blakelaw (Newcastle upon Tyne) result:
LAB: 43.2% (-20.0)
LDEM: 28.1% (+19.0)
UKIP: 19.1% (+3.0)
CON: 5.1% (-2.4)
GRN: 4.5% (+0.5)

Castle (Carlisle) result:
LAB: 46.5% (+9.2)
CON: 26.7% (+7.7)
UKIP: 12.5% (-10.4)
LDEM: 10.3% (-0.6)
GRN: 4.0% (-3.5)

As for the all important Lib Dem bar chart? Well this has been updated by John Grout and Brian Milnes to show we are now at 13 NET Gains.

By-election net changes graph - 16/09/2016 - The Liberal Democrats Number 1 in local council by-elections since 5th May 2016. Net Up 13, Gained 13, lost 0.

Full details of last nights By-Election results can be found on the ALDC website’s By-Election Results page and details of that is coming next on my preview page.

Well done to all who stood last night regardless of the result. It is really important that we stand candidates in all by-elections in order to build the habit of voting Liberal Democrat. If there is no candidate of ours on the ballot paper we are depriving someone of their ability to vote for us. If you are interested in standing as a candidate please get in touch with your Local Party or ALDC.

Polling Station Sign

Upcoming By-Elections – 22/09/2016

Plasnewydd (Cardiff UA)

Note : Election actually 20th September 2016 unusually.

Labour seat. Cause: Death.
LD candidate – Robin Rea.
To help, please contact Robin on 07800 559668 or visit www.CardiffLD.org.uk/roath-volunteer

Cil-y-Cwm (Carmarthenshire UA)

Independent seat. Cause: Death.
LD candidate – Catherine Nakielny.

Teignmouth Central (Teignbridge DC)

Conservative seat. Cause: Death.
LD candidate- Alison Eden.
To help, please email Sally Morgan on sallmrgn@aol.com.

Coatbridge North & Glenboig (North Lanarkshire UA)

SNP seat. Cause: Resignation.
No Lib Dem Candidate

Christchurch (Allerdale BC)

Conservative seat. Cause: Resignation.
LD candidate – Debbie Taylor.

Adderbury, Bloxham & Bodicote (Cherwell DC)

Conservative seat. Cause: Resignation.
LD candidate: Ian Richard Thomas.

Chopwell & Rolands Gill (Gateshead MB)

Labour seat. Cause: Resignation.
LD candidate: Amelia Louise Ord.

Hadleigh (Suffolk CC)

Conservative seat. Cause: resignation.
LD candidate: Trevor Sheldrick.
To help, please contact Dave Busby on 01473 311576/07855 777147 or email busbydathome@aol.com.
A phone bank has been set up and if you would be able to help the link to the phone bank is available on https://www.openvpb.com/ngpvanui/login?destination=vpb_bycode%2FC16EB1N-9539#register

Arley & Whitacre (North Warwickshire)

Conservative seat. Cause: Resignation.
No Lib Dem Candidate

Old Stratford (South Northamptonshire)

Conservative seat. Cause: Resignation.
No Lib Dem Candidate.

East (Hailsham TC)

Labour seat. Cause: Resignation.
LD candidate – Graham Moore.

To keep up to date on all upcoming elections visit the ALDC By-Election pages.

Polling Station Sign

Upcoming By-Elections – 15/09/2016

Tupton (North East Derbyshire DC)

Labour seat.

Lib Dem Candidate : David Hancock

If you want to help contact David via email david@canon-guide.com or Ross Shipman via email ross.shipman89@gmail.com. Also there are action days planned for this Sunday, and on Polling Day (Click for Facebook Events).

Castle (Carlisle DC)

Labour seat.
Lib Dem Candidate : Alison Hobson.

Bishops Castle (Shropshire)

Lib Dem seat
Lib Dem candidate : Jonny Keeley.

Blakelaw (Newcastle CC)

Labour seat
Lib Dem candidate : Ciaran Morrissey.
To help, please contact Greg Stone on 07747 862582 or email greg@gregstone.org.uk.

Burton Latimer TC

Independent seats (x2)
Lib Dem candidate : Jenny Davies.
To help, please contact Chris Nelson at chris@chrisnelson.org.uk or telephone 07824645049.

To keep up to date on all upcoming elections visit the ALDC By-Election pages.

Liberal Democrats Winning Here Sign

By-Election Report – 08/09/2016

Congratulations to Gail Smith and the Sheffield Liberal Democrats on their stunning victory in yesterday’s Mosborough By-Election!

The Lib Dems came 4th last time out, but after a great campaign by local candidate Gail Smith and the team they managed to surge into first place with a 20.5% swing from Labour as Labour slipped back to 2nd place.

All 4 by-elec results are in. consistent theme of Labour losing vote share (3-9pts). 20.5% swing to LDs in Sheffield.

Labour’s falling vote share, possibly not helped by local members deciding to phone bank for Corbyn’s leadership campaign rather than the by-election, was a consistent theme last night. In all 4 by-elections they lost vote share, even if they did hang on to 2 of the 3 defences.

Last night’s gain also takes our total number of Gains since May 2016 to 12! Way ahead of everyone else.

Council Seat Gains since May 2016 - 09/09/2016 - shows the Liberal Democrats with 12 Gains and no Losses.

Hat tip to Brian Milnes for this particular Lib Dem Bar Chart.

Elsewhere though there were reasons to be less cheerful. UKIP held on to there defence in Shepway South (Maidstone) and increased vote share everywhere but Mossborough and the Lib Dems didn’t field as candidate in 2 of the 4 by-elections – Yeoman Hill (Mansfield) and Parkway (Barrow-in-Furness). Additionally the other Lib Dem candidate who stood last night – Milden Halyungu Choongo in Shepway South – slipped further back in last place.

Britain Elecs graphic showing By-Election results from 08/09/2016

Full details of last nights By-Election results can be found on the ALDC website’s By-Election Results page.

Well done to all who stood last night regardless of the result. It is really important that we stand candidates in all by-elections in order to build the habit of voting Liberal Democrat. If there is no candidate of ours on the ballot paper we are depriving someone of their ability to vote for us. If you are interested in standing as a candidate please get in touch with your Local Party or ALDC.